Search Results for: lead time

Lead Time and Iterative Software Development

Posted on September 15, 2014 by azheglov

I have introduced my forecasting cards and written about lead time distributions in my recent blog post series. Now I’d like to turn to how these concepts apply in iterative software development, particularly the popular process framework Scrum. Let’s consider one of … Continue reading →

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Introducing Lead Time Forecasting Cards

Posted on September 10, 2014 by azheglov

I’m introducing a simple tool: lead time forecasting cards. Each card displays a pre-calculated distribution shape, using Weibull distribution with shape parameters 0.75, 1 (Exponential distribution), 1.25, 1.5, 2 (Rayleigh distribution), and 3. (Since I printed the first batch, I … Continue reading →

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Lead Time Distributions and Antifragility

Posted on September 9, 2014 by azheglov

This post continues the series about lead-time distribution and deals with risks involved in matching real-world lead-time data sets to known distributions and estimating the distribution parameters. One of the key ideas of Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s book Antifragile is the … Continue reading →

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Inside a Lead Time Distribution

Posted on September 7, 2014 by azheglov

My earlier post discussed: how to measure lead time how to analyze lead distribution charts how to get better understanding of lead time by breaking down multimodal (work item type mix) lead time data sets into unimodal (by work item … Continue reading →

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Analyzing the Lead Time Distribution Chart

Posted on September 6, 2014 by azheglov

This post is about one of the key measurements of flow we use in Kanban: lead time. We’ll talk a bit about how to measure it and analyze and use the results. Loosely defined, the lead time is how long … Continue reading →

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Cycle Time Revisited

Posted on May 26, 2015 by azheglov

The cycle time has been a hot topic for me lately. A debate is going on on kanbandev. Meanwhile, someone at a client site has asked my advice on continuous delivery (of software) and whether “the cycle time” is a … Continue reading →

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Exploring Leadership Traits

Posted on April 23, 2014 by azheglov

I went yesterday to our local Agile group meeting. Selena Delesie was the speaker. Her own consulting business has evolved in recent years from Agile coaching and software testing. It is now more about leadership to create modern, enlightened workplaces. … Continue reading →

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Build-Measure-Learn Is a Kanban Optimized for Response Time

Posted on October 4, 2011 by azheglov

In 2002, I had the only layoff of my career, from a company that had spent some time building a product (and they didn’t come) and landed right away in a DevOpsy lean-startapish Internet ad firm. Of course, words such … Continue reading →

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The Weibull Training Wheels

Posted on October 22, 2019 by azheglov

My old post, Inside a Lead Time Distribution, remains popular. I wrote it more than five years ago based on what I learned through practice and research 5-7 years ago. People continue to read it, reference it, and ask me … Continue reading →

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Forecasting Cards

Posted on September 19, 2016 by azheglov

Those who met me at conferences in the last two years (some clients, too) have probably seen these Forecasting Cards. They’re easy to recognize by their rainbow colours. I created them to start conversations about lead time and to communicate … Continue reading →

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