Author Archives: azheglov

Cycle Time Revisited

The cycle time has been a hot topic for me lately. A debate is going on on kanbandev. Meanwhile, someone at a client site has asked my advice on continuous delivery (of software) and whether “the cycle time” is a … Continue reading

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Introducing the STATIK Canvas

Update (2018) For the up-to-date version of this STATIK A3 paper, please see this more recent post. You can also download the paper from my firm’s website. The Original Post (largely relevant still) I’d like to introduce a new simple … Continue reading

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#BeyondVSM: Understanding and Mapping Your Process of Knowledge Discovery

This short post will serve as the “table of contents” for a series of six posts I wrote this year about mapping processes in creative industries based on knowledge creation and information discovery and not by handoffs of work between … Continue reading

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Lead Time and Iterative Software Development

I have introduced my forecasting cards and written about lead time distributions in my recent blog post series. Now I’d like to turn to how these concepts apply in iterative software development, particularly the popular process framework Scrum. Let’s consider one of … Continue reading

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Introducing Lead Time Forecasting Cards

I’m introducing a simple tool: lead time forecasting cards. Each card displays a pre-calculated distribution shape, using Weibull distribution with shape parameters 0.75, 1 (Exponential distribution), 1.25, 1.5, 2 (Rayleigh distribution), and 3. (Since I printed the first batch, I … Continue reading

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Lead Time Distributions and Antifragility

This post continues the series about lead-time distribution and deals with risks involved in matching real-world lead-time data sets to known distributions and estimating the distribution parameters. One of the key ideas of Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s book Antifragile is the … Continue reading

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How to Match to Weibull Distribution without Excel

A bit more than one year ago, I wrote a short, but fairly technical post on how to do this without complicated statistical tools, only using something found in many modern offices: spreadsheet software such as Excel. Here is the … Continue reading

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Inside a Lead Time Distribution

My earlier post discussed: how to measure lead time how to analyze lead distribution charts how to get better understanding of lead time by breaking down multimodal (work item type mix) lead time data sets into unimodal (by work item … Continue reading

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Analyzing the Lead Time Distribution Chart

This post is about one of the key measurements of flow we use in Kanban: lead time. We’ll talk a bit about how to measure it and analyze and use the results. Loosely defined, the lead time is how long … Continue reading

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Mapping Your Process as Collaborative Knowledge Discovery – Part 3 (Thinking)

This will be the last post in the series about process visualization in professional services, specifically within the context of applying the Kanban method and one of its core practices, visualization. Earlier in this series: How to understand the process … Continue reading

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